Run VT Erroll!
- Mar 9, 2007
I think we are getting away from the original post... .
But Operation Sea Lion was planned for the Summer/Autumn of 1940. And Barbarossa was almost a year later in the Spring/Summer of 41. Hitler may have turned to Barbarossa so early because Sea Lion didn't happen. If there hadn't been a Battle of Britain the Luftwaffe would have been far stronger in 41, so who knows what affect that might have had.
I don't think the German military were ever truly set up for Sea Lion. The 1974 Operation Sea Lion war game showed how badly it would have gone [and just look at the "cast" list!].
If there hadn't been a Battle of Britain, not only would the Luftwaffe been in better shape, they would have been able to attack much earlier. Even 3 or 4 months could have made the difference between success and failure.
But back on topic, there was never any realistic chance of the US and Britain NOT supplying the Russians. They desperately needed to keep that front open and as many German troops occupied as possible for as long as possible. If Hitler had defeated the main threat in Russia and captured the oilfields, he could have strengthened his defences in West Europe making D-Day impossible. Remember it was touch and go as it was, and that was with the majority of German forces tied up in Russia, with nearly all the airforce and panzer divisions. Without air superiority over the landing beaches, it would have been a much,much more difficult task. In fact they probably wouldn't even have attempted it, instead going up through Italy.