Actually, it's interesting to note that respected astronomer
Sir Fred Hoyle also thought abiogenesis was so statistically unlikely that he argued it must only have arisen once in the entire universe, and has since spread among the stars. This was the original idea for Panspermia. However, he basically had to throw out all accepted ideas of cosmology to do so.
Well, he wasn't keen on Big Bang at all, given that the evidence available at the time (when he was big in cosmological circles i.e. 1950-early 60s) was limited. We've moved on leaps and bounds now with a whole raft of observations and it's very difficult to argue his position with current evidence, so we would need some completely damning evidence that kills off 'big bang'. So rather than respected, I'd say certain of his views lack credibility.
With respect to the discussion of abiogenesis, he was also lacking a great deal of knowledge that we know now. Biochemistry was a very young science at the time. We've moved on a lot and to be frank he wasn't really on the cutting edge.
However he was definitely respected for the pioneering work he did in stellar evolution and nucleosynthesis, but I think he 'backed the wrong horses' with respect to a number of theories that, as I've said, were shown to be pretty discordant with actual observations.
But, hey, old scientists tend to get stuck in their old fashioned ways. For example, Einstein never could accept modern Quantum theory, but it has been tested to death and the 'Quantum lot' appears to have
easily 'won'.
With respect to panspermia: I'm not against the idea. Bacteria, say, are hardy buggers and if they were somehow implanted in the middle of a kilometer wide ice ball and propelled across the cosmos perhaps they could thrive. Or at least survive the vast distances between stars. But a number of Hoyles claims are a bit far fetched. (He stated that the 1918 flu epidemic 'came from outer space' - possibly he accepted the literal origins of the word
influenza coming from the Italian for 'visitation, influence of the stars'. However it seems that this actually came from astrological concepts of illness...so basically poppycock.)
And, as it was claimed by him, that abiogenisis was exceedingly rare, then panspermia (as the only way we could have life on the planet Earth) via natural means, as you've stated Brian, requires an eternal steady-state universe (which is probably not true, given what we know now). Or possibly, as it appears Hoyle actually stated, 'directed panspermia' was at work. i.e. other beings deliberately targeting all stars with 'dirty snowballs' or some other mechanism to spread life. He was atheist btw, so these were sophisticated ancient intelligent life, I suppose. However there is no sign, at all, of what should be a galaxy full of these 'ancient ones'.
And yes, like Vertigo says, abiogenesis could still be happening today - but competition for nutrients by existing life forms may prevent that from happening.
Absolutely. We now live in a world where cells divide in minutes and can be found
everywhere. Even if the original process of abiogenesis was quick, say a million years, it would
now be forever disrupted right at the start by vastly superior cells hoovering up all the material just feeding. I
suspect that today's most basic cells are like 'hyper-dimensional USS Enterprises/tardises' compared to the rickety 'Sumerian war waggons' of some form of basic life that a million years of abiogenesis might (just) be able to produce.